A third party candidate will not guarantee Obama's victory

A third party candidate will not guarantee Obama's victory because Obama is also at odds with Democrats. While the Conservatives will definitely be split between the GOP and a third decent party, the Democrats can also be split between Obama and the third party guy. If the GOP candidate is a "health-care regulating, pro-abortion, flip-flopping, liberal, phony, RINO stiff", Conservatives will be hard pressed to vote for him in good conscience and conscientious Democrats will see no difference between him and Obama.

If no one told you they love you today ... you are hanging with the wrong people.